Yesterday Recap — 15/9/26
Yesterday, GBPTHB closed at 44.85 in the Thai market.
The Claimant Count Change came in at 27.8K, significantly higher than the forecast of 8.3K, compared with the previous reading of -11.8K.
Meanwhile, Employment Change 3M/3M came in at 67K, down from the previous reading of 83K.
The Unemployment Rate stood at 4.9%, below the forecast of 5.0% and unchanged from the previous reading of 4.9%.
Average Earnings ex Bonus came in at 3.5%, in line with both the forecast and the previous reading.
Overall, the data suggests that the UK labor market remains relatively resilient. Although employment growth has slowed, wage growth and the unemployment rate remain at levels that continue to support the GBP.
Fundamental — 16/9/26
Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous
UK 13:00 — CPI YoY | 3.1% | 2.9%
UK 13:00 — Core CPI YoY | 2.6% | 2.6%
UK 13:00 — CPI MoM | 0.3% | —
Today, the key UK economic data is CPI. CPI YoY is forecast to increase to 3.1%, up from 2.9% previously, while Core CPI YoY is expected to remain unchanged at 2.6%.
If inflation comes in above expectations, it could reduce expectations for further monetary policy easing by the BoE and potentially support the GBP.
Overall, GBPTHB is expected to remain range-bound and volatile, with the main focus on UK CPI, BoE interest-rate expectations, and tonight's Fed meeting.
Technical Analysis — GBPTHB 1H
Bias: Sideway
GBPTHB continues to trade within the 44.76–44.87 range.
The pair was previously in an uptrend and continued to form Higher Lows, but has entered a short-term consolidation phase.
If the price holds above 44.76, it could rebound toward 44.87. However, if the price breaks below 44.76, further downside could develop.
Resistance: 44.87
Support: 44.76
Target: 44.87
Cut Loss: 44.72
Sep 16, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas