Tetra Digital Group launches Canadian-dollar stablecoin CADD, adds Solana support
Sep 23, 2026 · byCryptoBriefingTopic · Product
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Binance Announces 24/7 FX Perpetuals With USD/BRL Contract Set For September 21
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Latest USD articles
Sep 23, 2026 · byCryptoBriefingBinance Brings 24/7 FX Perpetuals To Crypto Traders With USD/BRL
TL;DR Binance Futures has launched a 24/7 perpetual contract tied to the USD/BRL foreign-exchange rate. USD/BRL is the first pair in the new FX-perpetual product line. The product gives synthetic leveraged FX exposure through a crypto derivatives venue; it is not spot foreign-exchange settlement. Binance is moving another traditional market into the always-on crypto trading model. The exchange has launched 24/7 foreign-exchange perpetuals, beginning with a contract tied to the US dollar and Brazilian real. USD/BRL Is The First Pair The initial contract gives traders continuous synthetic exposure to the USD/BRL exchange rate using the perpetual-futures format already familiar across crypto markets. That removes the conventional weekend and overnight boundaries associated with many FX venues. For crypto-native traders, the product also means foreign-exchange exposure can sit alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum and other derivatives inside the same collateral and risk-management environment. The launch pair is USD/BRL. Binance has indicated that additional FX contracts are expected, but the September 21 rollout should not be read as the simultaneous launch of every major currency pair. Crypto Exchanges Keep Expanding Into TradFi Markets The broader trend is becoming difficult to miss. Major crypto derivatives venues are no longer limiting themselves to crypto assets. Equity-linked perpetuals, pre-IPO contracts and now foreign-exchange products are increasingly being offered through the same 24/7 infrastructure. That creates a different trading experience from the underlying markets. A perpetual contract provides price exposure, but it does not mean the trader is receiving or delivering physical currency. The USD/BRL launch is therefore less about Binance becoming a conventional FX bank and more about crypto-style derivatives becoming a wrapper for a wider range of financial prices. This article was written by the News Desk and edited by Samuel Rae.
Binanceneutral
Sep 23, 2026 · byNewsBTC
NBE gets preliminary nod from CBUAE to acquire Banque Misr’s UAE branches
Good morning, ladies and gents. Three stories we’re unpacking today: InstaPay is getting a Pan-African link, the IMF said Egypt’s economy held up under pressure, and MSMEs are getting a fresh line of credit. The new InstaPay link will let Egyptian traders settle with African counterparts in local currencies rather than relying on USD. Will […] The post NBE gets preliminary nod from CBUAE to acquire Banque Misr’s UAE branches appeared first on EnterpriseAM Egypt .
Sep 23, 2026 · byEnterpriseAM Egypt
EBRD lends USD 40 mn to EFG Holding in first direct facility for MSMEs
The EBRD’s first-ever direct loan to EFG Holding will channel financing through EFG Finance subsidiaries to MSMEs outside Egypt’s major cities The post EBRD lends USD 40 mn to EFG Holding in first direct facility for MSMEs appeared first on EnterpriseAM Egypt .
USDneutral
Sep 23, 2026 · byEnterpriseAM Egypt
Asyad advances fleet renewal plans with three tanker sales
The move comes alongside USD 17.5 mn sale of its 18-year-old MR product tanker Al Amerat, The post Asyad advances fleet renewal plans with three tanker sales appeared first on Logistics .
Sep 22, 2026 · byEnterpriseAM Egypt
USD/JPY Forecast: Yen Strength Puts 152 Support in Focus as BoJ Tightening Looms
USD/JPY remains under pressure as the Japanese yen strengthens ahead of another potentially important Bank of Japan policy decision. The pair has fallen toward the mid-155 region after breaking below key technical levels, while expectations for further Japanese monetary tightening have added to demand for the yen. The latest USD/JPY forecast is increasingly centered on The post USD/JPY Forecast: Yen Strength Puts 152 Support in Focus as BoJ Tightening Looms appeared first on BeInCrypto .
USDneutral
Sep 21, 2026 · byBeInCrypto
Gov’t rejected VW’s request for incentives beyond the standard package
Plus: The AfDB is giving a USD 3.55 mn reimbursable grant to a green ammonia project in East Port Said The post Gov’t rejected VW’s request for incentives beyond the standard package appeared first on EnterpriseAM Egypt .
Sep 21, 2026 · byEnterpriseAM Egypt
USD/JPY Rally from 155.00 Sets the Stage for Ueda
A 25 bp hike from the BoJ is priced-in for the upcoming rate decision, so perhaps the bigger question is what else the BoJ might have in store. In Scott Bessent's comments a week ago he seemed to insinuate that the BoJ would have something more to say, and that sent USD/JPY down for a test of the lows at the time but sellers couldn't run with a break. Since then, there's been a continued build of higher-lows and after initial resistance at 155.00, bulls used that spot for support around the start of yesterday's rate decision from the Fed. At this point, holding longs can be daunting above the 160.00 level that was sold hard two weeks ago, but unless something shifts or changes, there could still be motive for bulls to bid dips. Motivation for the BoJ should be high as oil prices combined with Yen weakness and surging Japanese yields make for a difficult backdrop given Japan's debt to GDP ratio of more than 200%. - JS
USDneutral
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
EUR/USD H1: Conditional Short at 1.15060–1.15250 Resistance
EUR/USD remains bearish on the D1 and H4 timeframes following the recent sharp USD-led decline. On H1, price is currently recovering from the 1.14518 support area, but this move is still considered a technical correction within the broader bearish structure. Primary scenario: I am watching the 1.15060–1.15250 resistance zone for a possible short setup. No immediate entry is suggested. A completed H1 bearish rejection candle inside this zone is required before the short scenario becomes active. Confirmation: • Price reaches the 1.15060–1.15250 resistance zone. • A completed H1 candle shows bearish rejection. • Price fails to establish support above 1.15250. Downside targets: • Target 1: 1.14817 • Target 2: 1.14678 • Target 3: 1.14518 Invalidation: An H1 close and successful retest above 1.15250 would invalidate the primary short scenario. In that case, 1.15492 becomes the next resistance level. Fundamental context: Euro-area inflation data were slightly softer than expected, while recent US labour-market and manufacturing figures supported the US dollar. However, the setup remains conditional and requires technical confirmation. This publication is an educational market analysis and not individual investment advice. Risk management and independent verification are required.
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
Gold / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD)
🟡 Gold / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) Could a Breakout from This Compression Define Gold’s Next Medium-Term Move? 📊🔥 Hello everyone and welcome back to all my TradingView followers! 👋📈 I hope you are all doing well and trading with patience, discipline and proper risk management. Today, we are looking at Gold versus the U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD), a market currently influenced by a combination of global uncertainty, USD strength, U.S. interest rates, Treasury yields and geopolitical risks. 🌍⚠️ 🌍 Fundamental View | Higher Rates, Stronger USD and Pressure on Gold 💵📈 Global markets remain highly volatile. On one side, geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty continue to support demand for safe-haven assets. On the other side, the latest increase in U.S. interest rates and higher Treasury yields can create pressure on non-yielding assets such as gold. The Federal Reserve recently raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%–4.00%. The possibility of further restrictive policy has supported the U.S. dollar and increased the opportunity cost of holding gold. Reuters +1 The potential short-term mechanism is: Hawkish Fed → Stronger USD → Higher Bond Yields → Higher Opportunity Cost → Pressure on Gold 📉 However, gold is not driven by interest rates alone. Other important factors include: 🔹 Geopolitical tensions 🔹 Safe-haven demand 🔹 Central-bank purchases 🔹 Investment flows 🔹 Recession concerns 🔹 Sovereign debt and fiscal risks Therefore, the reaction to higher rates is not always one-directional. Still, in the short term, a stronger dollar and higher Treasury yields may remain important headwinds for gold. ⚠️ 📊 Technical Analysis | XAUUSD On the provided chart, gold has entered a compressed consolidation structure after a previous bearish move. This short-term compression is developing inside a broader 4H structure, and price is now approaching important technical decision zones. 👀 🔴 First Resistance Zone: 4368 – 4402 This is the key resistance area near the current price. Above this zone, the next important resistance is around: 🎯 4474 🟡 Main Support Zone: The major support area is approximately: 4260 – 4270 The smaller short-term consolidation area around 4310–4325 may also be relevant for intraday reactions. 🐂 Bullish Scenario | Confirmed Breakout for Medium-Term Longs 📈 If price breaks above the 4368–4402 resistance zone with strong momentum and confirms the breakout on the 4H timeframe, the structure could shift in favor of buyers. A more reliable bullish sequence would be: Breakout → Retest → Confirmation 🎯 After a confirmed breakout, the 4474 area could become the next important resistance and potential target. For a medium-term long setup, a temporary move above resistance may not be enough. Ideally, traders should look for: 🟢 A 4H candle close above resistance 🟢 Price acceptance above the breakout zone 🟢 A successful retest 🟢 Reduced selling pressure during the retest 🐻 Bearish Scenario | Breakdown of the Compression and Support 📉 If gold fails to break the resistance zone and selling pressure returns, the 4260–4270 support area becomes extremely important. A confirmed breakdown below this zone could indicate that the short-term bullish structure is weakening and that a deeper correction may develop. In that case, it may be more reasonable to wait for: Breakdown → Failed Retest → Continuation The bearish scenario could become stronger if the breakdown occurs alongside: 💵 A stronger U.S. dollar 📈 Higher Treasury yields 🏦 Expectations of tighter Fed policy 🌍 Increasing global risk aversion Under these conditions, fundamental and technical pressure could reinforce each other. 🧠 Final View Gold is currently approaching an important decision point. Fundamentally, higher U.S. interest rates and a stronger dollar may create short-term pressure on gold. However, geopolitical uncertainty and safe-haven demand can still provide support. Technically, price is trading inside a compressed structure, making the reaction to the key levels particularly important: 🔴 Break and confirmation above 4368–4402: higher potential for a move toward 4474. 🟢 Support holds around 4260–4270: further consolidation and another bullish attempt remain possible. 🐻 Confirmed support breakdown: the probability of a deeper correction increases. For now, the key is to wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown, preferably supported by 4H price action, because volatile markets can produce false breakouts. ⚠️ 🗳️ What is your view? 🤔 Where do you think gold is heading next? 🟢 Bullish: Breakout above 4368–4402 and a move toward 4474 🔴 Bearish: Breakdown below 4260–4270 and a deeper correction 🟡 Neutral: Continued compression between support and resistance Share your opinion in the comments! 👇💬 ⚠️ Disclaimer | English: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading financial markets involves substantial risk, especially when leverage is used. Always conduct your own research and apply proper risk management before making any investment decision. 🏷️ Tags #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #GoldAnalysis #PreciousMetals #USD #USDollar #FederalReserve #Fed #InterestRates #TreasuryYields #BondYields #Inflation #SafeHaven #Geopolitics #Forex #Commodities #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #RiskManagement #Bullish #Bearish #Breakout #GoldPrice
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
USD/CHF Bullish Setup
USD/CHF is showing strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart after recovering from the recent consolidation area. Buyers have pushed price sharply higher, with the pair now trading around 0.8252. 🔥 The recent upward move has strengthened the bullish structure and brought price closer to the major descending trendline visible on the chart. If buying pressure continues and price maintains its current momentum, the next projected upside level is 0.8310. 🚀 A sustained move toward this level would represent a continuation of the current recovery and could keep buyers in control. Traders should closely monitor price action as USD/CHF approaches the trendline and the projected target. 📊 If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬!
USDfavorable
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
USD/CHF: news flow leaning bullish — the net read
USD/CHF did not get one story today, it got several, and they do not all point the same way. Weighed against each other — new against old, and tracking which ones have already faded: ++ Swiss Franc remains near 16-month lows against US Dollar ++ Analysis-Fed builds credibility, but hawkish turn leaves investors edgy ++ With Fed credibility on the line, Warsh just delivered a hawkish answer 76 stories were weighed in this window; the 3 carrying the most weight are listed. Net read: +++ leaning bullish — top of our scale. What this is: a measure of which way the *news* is leaning right now — not a promise about price. A read being right and a read still being worth taking are two different things: once price has travelled a long way from where the read was published, it is stretched, and a lean that is stretched is a no-chase rather than an invitation. Weight is not fixed either. A fresh headline lands, the balance tips, and the net read can flip inside an hour — that shift is the part worth watching, not the first print. I will post an update under this idea once the market has had time to speak, either way. (Informational only — not financial advice, not a signal.)
USDfavorable
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
Gold Rises Again as Selling Pressure Eases
📊 Market Overview: XAU/USD is currently trading around 4,310–4,320 USD, after rebounding strongly from a low near 4,235 USD in the previous session. On September 17, gold reached around 4,318 USD, while Reuters reported that gold gained more than 1%, supported by a weaker USD and easing oil prices. After the Fed raised interest rates and signaled that further tightening could remain possible, gold continues to face pressure from U.S. yields and expectations for higher interest rates. However, the USD's pullback from a 7-week high, along with lower oil prices, is supporting gold's short-term recovery. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 4,315–4,325 / 4,345–4,360 USD • Nearest Support: 4,285–4,295 / 4,255–4,270 USD • EMA: Price is attempting to reclaim the EMA 09 after the strong rebound from 4,235. However, the short-term structure has not fully turned bullish yet, as the medium-term moving averages remain above price. A TradingView-based analysis also identifies 4,316 as an important confirmation level; a clear break above this area could open the way toward 4,347. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: The sharp decline toward 4,235–4,260 created a long lower wick, followed by strong dip-buying that pushed gold back above 4,300. RSI is currently around the neutral 48–50 zone, indicating that selling pressure has eased, but buyers have not yet gained full control. 📌 Outlook: Gold could continue its short-term recovery if it holds above 4,285–4,295 and decisively breaks above 4,315–4,325. In that case, the next target could be 4,345–4,360. Conversely, if gold is rejected below 4,315–4,325 and breaks below 4,285, selling pressure could return toward 4,255–4,270. The broader structure still requires caution as the Fed maintains a relatively hawkish stance. 💡 Proposed Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4,320–4,325 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: 4,328 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4,285–4,295 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: 4,278
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
XAUUSD — 4,309 Break Opens 4,225
XAUUSD — 4,309 Break Opens 4,225 Gold is showing another weak recovery attempt, and this chart feels like sellers are still controlling the story. After the sharp drop from the previous high, price moved inside a bearish structure with repeated lower reactions. Each bounce looked strong for a short moment, but none of them was able to hold cleanly above the previous supply area. That is usually a warning sign. When gold keeps reacting up but fails to build real continuation, the market is often preparing to take liquidity lower. Right now, price is trading around 4,309 after another rejection from the upper 4,300 zone. The key point here is simple: buyers tried to recover, but the reaction lost momentum before breaking back into a bullish structure. With USD strength supported by the hawkish Fed tone, and gold closing below the important 50-day SMA area, the short-term pressure still leans bearish. From an SMC view, the current move looks like a lower-high formation after a broken recovery channel. The market has already shown CHoCH signals, but they are not strong enough to confirm a full bullish reversal. Instead, price is now turning down again toward the next liquidity pocket. My main view is bearish while gold stays below 4,325 - 4,350. If sellers keep pressure under this zone, the next downside target is 4,241 - 4,225. This is the area marked on the chart, and it may become the next reaction zone if price sweeps into discount. For buyers to regain control, gold needs more than a small bounce. It needs a clean reclaim above 4,350, then a stronger hold above 4,375. Without that, every recovery still looks like a pullback for sellers to reload. Key Price Zones to Watch Current price area: 4,300 - 4,310 Short-term resistance: 4,325 - 4,350 Bullish recovery level: above 4,350 - 4,375 Main bearish pressure zone: below 4,325 First downside target: 4,260 - 4,250 Main target zone: 4,241 - 4,225 Invalidation for bearish view: clean reclaim and hold above 4,375 Do you think gold will sweep 4,225 first, or will buyers defend this area before the next big move?
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
# USDCAD Week W38-2026: Fed Hikes to 3.75%-4.00% and Canadian..
# USDCAD Week W38-2026: Fed Hikes to 3.75%-4.00% and Canadian Dollar Slides to Weakest Since August 7, Bullish Trend Holds Above 1.39216 | 17 September 2026 **Reference data** | week 2026-W38 - Symbol: USDCAD - Week: 2026-W38 - Bias: bullish - Conviction: low - Regime: trending_up - FX implication: trend_follow - MTF alignment: all_bullish - VWAP weekly: 1.39011 - TrendSL weekly: 1.39216 - Thesis snapshot close: 1.39301 - Current market price: 1.39914 (as of 2026-09-17T07:41:00+00:00; source mt5:USDCAD:1m) - US 10Y yield: 5.0% - US 2Y yield: 4.67% - US 10Y real yield: 2.62% - DXY: 99.914; intraday high 100.066; weekly VWAP 99.325; weekly TrendSL near 99.922 ## L0 - Regime Identification The immediate catalyst is the Federal Reserve's September 16 decision to raise its target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% in a unanimous 12-0 vote, citing still-elevated inflation. Sixteen of eighteen policymakers projected at least one additional 25-basis-point increase before the end of 2026 -- a forward guidance signal that carries weight because it means the tightening cycle is not yet complete, keeping USD demand structurally supported. The direct market reaction was visible: USDCAD reached 1.3994 as the Canadian dollar fell roughly 0.5% to its weakest level since August 7. Compounding CAD's weakness, Canadian housing starts printed at 229,046 against an expectation of 240,000, and while Bank of Canada minutes acknowledged near-term inflation risks, there was no offsetting hawkish catalyst from Ottawa. The regime remains trending up, consistent with last week's posture, and the price action following the Fed decision reinforces rather than disrupts that structure. ## L1 - Driver Stack The bullish case rests on a layered set of forces, not all of equal weight: -> ** Fed-BoC rate differential, hawkish Fed lean.** The rate differential -- the gap between what the Fed pays relative to the Bank of Canada -- is the primary driver. A wider positive differential attracts capital toward USD-denominated assets, mechanically pressuring USDCAD higher. With sixteen of eighteen Fed members penciling in further hikes and the BoC offering no comparable hawkish pivot, this gap is widening, not narrowing. -> **Multi-timeframe technical alignment (bullish).** Daily, weekly, and monthly structures are all pointing the same direction. When all timeframes agree, the signal quality is high -- it means pullbacks are more likely absorbed than reversed. -> **Retail positioning contrarian lean.** As of September 17 via FXSSI, 70% of retail accounts tracked are short USDCAD with only 30% long. When the crowd is heavily positioned against the prevailing trend, their collective stop-losses and forced covering can accelerate moves in the trend direction. This is context, not a standalone trigger -- the broker sample does not represent the full FX market. -> **COT positioning bullish lean.** Commitment of Traders data leans bullish for USD. Caveat: the brief does not specify the exact report week, release date, or net-position figure, so this should be read as directional evidence, not a precise citable statistic. -> **Bearish CAD macro data.** Weak housing starts and no hawkish shift in BoC communication remove potential CAD-supportive catalysts. -> ** TGA decline and liquidity dynamics.** The Treasury General Account fell roughly 12% over four weeks to approximately $843.7 billion (FRED, as of September 9). A shrinking TGA injects reserves into the banking system, which historically carries a modest bearish USD causal weight -- it partially offsets the hawkish Fed signal and is one reason conviction remains low rather than high. -> ** WTI oil direction.** US crude settled 3.2% lower, which in isolation removes a key CAD support pillar (oil revenues underpin Canadian external balances). However, if oil stages a sustained recovery, it could override the bullish USD bias on this pair -- this is the most important condition to monitor weekly. ## L2 - Macro Snapshot The US yield structure is unambiguously tight. The 10Y yield sits at 5.0%, the 2Y at 4.67%, and the 10Y real yield -- which strips out inflation expectations to show what investors actually earn in purchasing-power terms -- stands at 2.62%. A real yield of that magnitude is historically significant: it makes holding USD assets genuinely rewarding after inflation, which draws sustained foreign demand for dollars. The 2Y-10Y spread being only 33 basis points (a near-flat curve) tells you the market believes the Fed is close to -- but not yet at -- the end of the cycle, consistent with the 16-of-18 projection for at least one more hike. On the liquidity side, the Fed's balance-sheet proxy (total assets minus TGA minus overnight reverse repo) stood at approximately $5,896 billion as of September 9, rising about $96.7 billion over four weeks (FRED: WALCL/WDTGAL/RRPONTSYD). This expansion is a broad liquidity-supportive signal for risk assets, but it is not order-book depth and does not translate directly into a USD directional call. SOFR printed at 3.64% against IORB of 3.65%, a spread of roughly -1 basis point -- funding markets are functioning normally, with no stress signal visible (FRED, September 15). The CNN Fear and Greed index at 26/100 and VIX at 16.01 (yfinance, September 17) describe US equity sentiment rather than FX positioning. Fear in equities can sometimes create mild USD safe-haven demand, but neither reading is a mechanical FX trigger -- they are background context only. ## L3 - Technical Structure As of Thursday, September 17, 2026 at 07:41 UTC (source: mt5:USDCAD:1m, near-realtime), USDCAD is trading at 1.39914. The thesis snapshot close referenced in the analysis was 1.39301. Price at 1.39914 is above the weekly VWAP at 1.39011 by approximately 90 pips. VWAP -- the volume-weighted average price for the week -- acts as a center-of-gravity benchmark: price holding above it means buyers have been in control of the average transaction for the week, and any dip toward it would represent a mean-reversion opportunity for trend followers rather than a structural break. Price at 1.39914 is also above the weekly trend stop-loss level at 1.39216 by approximately 70 pips. This level is the structural anchor of the bullish regime: as long as price stays above it on a weekly closing basis, the trend is technically intact. Multi-timeframe alignment is fully bullish (daily, weekly, monthly), which is the highest-quality signal the technical picture offers. The absence of divergence across timeframes reduces the likelihood of a sudden regime flip without warning. ## L4 - Intermarket Cross-Check The updated DXY chart shows 99.914 after an intraday high of 100.066. Price is above weekly VWAP at 99.325 but remains just below weekly TrendSL near 99.922. That reduces the earlier tension with bullish USDCAD and confirms stronger dollar momentum, while the TrendSL test shows that full bullish structural confirmation has not yet occurred. USDCAD now has support from both the bilateral rate backdrop and CAD-specific weakness, while DXY's recovery adds a broader USD confirmation that was missing at the start of the week. A sustained move back below the post-FOMC DXY recovery would remove that extra tailwind and return the pair to relying more heavily on CAD weakness. The 3.2% drop in WTI to $81.43 per barrel is directly relevant because oil is Canada's largest export commodity. Lower oil prices mechanically weaken Canadian external revenues and reduce demand for CAD -- this observation reinforces the current directional lean. A reversal in oil would change this calculus. ## L5 - Event Risk Events to watch this week and over the 3-week horizon: -> Fed speakers and any additional 2026 rate path commentary following the September 16 decision -> Bank of Canada communications -- any shift in tone toward more aggressive tightening would be the clearest single-event threat to the bullish structure -> WTI crude price trajectory -- a sustained rally above recent levels would be the most likely macro force to override the current directional lean -> Canadian economic data releases (employment, inflation, retail sales if scheduled) -- weak data would reinforce CAD softness; a strong surprise could provide temporary CAD recovery -> US inflation and labor data -- any data materially undercutting the case for further Fed hikes would compress the rate differential | Scenario | Probability | |---|---| | Fed guidance holds, oil stays soft, USDCAD extends above 1.3994 | Moderate | | BoC turns unexpectedly hawkish, CAD recovers, pair pulls back toward 1.3921 | Lower | | Oil rallies sharply, CAD outperforms, thesis pressure increases | Moderate | | Broad USD selloff (DXY deterioration accelerates), pair loses 1.3921 | Lower | ## L6 - Conviction Scorecard The overall bias is bullish, but conviction is deliberately kept low. The rate backdrop and technical alignment point in the same direction, and DXY now provides momentum confirmation above weekly VWAP. The remaining conflicts are the TGA drain carrying a partial bearish USD causal weight, DXY still testing weekly TrendSL, and oil's potential for reversal. The bullish direction is clear; the risk-reward clarity for sizing is not. ## L7 - Time Horizon **Near-term (days):** The pair is reacting directly to the Fed hike and the CAD's post-decision weakness. Price holding above 1.39216 on a daily close basis keeps the near-term structure intact. The 1.3994 level reached on September 17 becomes an important near-term reference -- sustained trade above it would be a continuation signal, while failure to hold it could invite short-term consolidation. **3-week window (the stated timeline):** Over this horizon, the thesis relies on the rate differential remaining in USD's favor, oil staying soft or declining further, and no hawkish pivot from the BoC. The multi-timeframe alignment provides structural support for continuation, but any one of those three conditions changing would materially reduce the case. **Medium-term (beyond 3 weeks):** If sixteen policymakers are correct and the Fed delivers at least one more hike by year-end 2026, the rate differential widens further, which would extend the structural bullish case. However, medium-term views carry more uncertainty because oil, global risk appetite, and BoC policy can all shift in ways not yet visible in current data. ## L8 - Invalidation Conditions -> A weekly close below the TrendSL weekly at 1.39216 would constitute bullish structure invalidation -- those already holding long exposure should reassess their risk against this level; those not yet positioned should wait to see whether this invalidation level is tested before considering entry. -> If price is sustained below the weekly VWAP at 1.39011, short-term momentum would be running against the thesis -- those with existing exposure should factor this into their risk assessment, as it would signal that the average buyer for the week is underwater. --- *This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.* #USDCAD #ForexTrading #USD #CAD #FedReserve #InterestRates #RateDifferential #DXY #BankOfCanada #WTIcrude #CurrencyMarkets #MacroTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexAnalysis #WeeklyOutlook
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
GOLD Consolidation recovery in Progress 4350 / 4380 on Focus
Gold is showing a strong rebound after the sharp sell-off, with price recovering from the 4,240 –4,260 liquidity/support area and moving back above 4,300. Tecnically latest upside reaction is partly connected to the market digesting the Fed's September rate decision. The Fed raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%, while the initial post-Fed selling pushed gold to a near six-week low. On September 17, gold rebounded more than 1% as investors reassessed the decision and the earlier oil rally lost momentum. At the same time, the USD remains firm and Treasury yields are elevated, which is limiting the upside and explains why gold is still reacting sharply around resistance. Geopolitical uncertainty is also contributing to two-way volatility. Key Levels to watch ; Support zone ; 4,300–$4,320 Resistance zone ; 4,350 / 4,380 Holding above 4300 keeps the bullish As long Price continues holding above 4,300 and confirms strength through the resistance zone, the next levels to watch are 4,350 / 4,380 for now, the chart remains a battle between bullish recovery and macro-driven selling pressure. Confirmation around the key levels will be important before assuming the next major direction. Hope you found this analysis helpful. 👍 Like, Comment & Follow for more updates.
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
USD/CAD: Fed Hike Pushes Price Toward 1.4000
USD/CAD remains structurally bullish after the Federal Reserve delivered a 25 bp rate hike, taking the policy rate to 3.75%–4.00%. The Fed's projections also leave room for another hike this year. That combination continues to support the USD, while USD/CAD has pushed aggressively higher toward the 1.4000 psychological resistance. 📈 Technical Structure The chart shows a strong sequence of higher highs and higher lows, followed by a sharp breakout from the 1.3940–1.3950 area. Current price is consolidating just below 1.4000. Key levels 🔴 1.4000 — major resistance / psychological level 🟢 1.3950 — key breakout support 🟢 1.3920 — secondary support 🟢 1.3900 — deeper support 🟢 Bullish Scenario A clean break above 1.4000, followed by a successful retest and hold, would provide confirmation for continuation. Potential upside levels: 1.4020 → 1.4050 → 1.4100 The key is acceptance above 1.4000, not simply a wick through the level. 🔴 Bearish Scenario If price repeatedly rejects 1.4000 and then loses 1.3980, watch for a deeper correction toward: 1.3950 → 1.3920 → 1.3900 A sustained break below 1.3950 would significantly weaken the current bullish structure. 🛢️ Fundamental Context Oil has pulled back from its recent highs, which reduces some of the CAD support coming from elevated crude prices. However, the Fed's tightening expectations and elevated U.S. yields remain important USD drivers. The market has therefore moved from: "Will the Fed hike?" to: "Will the Fed hike again?" That expectation is now part of the USD/CAD equation. 🎯 Trading Advantage™ Thesis Bias: Bullish Battlefield: 1.4000 Bullish confirmation: Break + hold + retest above 1.4000 Major invalidation zone: 1.3950 I am watching the reaction at 1.4000, rather than chasing the move into resistance. Trade the reaction, not the prediction. #USDCHF #USDCAD #ForexTrading #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #FederalReserve #Fed #InterestRates #CanadianDollar #USD #MacroTrading #TradingView #TheTradingAdvantage
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
USD/PY Consolidates; Bullish Momentum Remains
USD/JPY OANDA:USDJPY snapped a three-day winning streak and pared some of Wednesday's gains, consolidating around the psychological 156.00 level throughout the Asian trading session on Thursday, September 17, 2026. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ BoJ vs. Fed Monetary Policy: BoJ Rate Hike to 1.25% Tomorrow (31-Year High) vs. Fed's Hawkish Dot Plot The foreign exchange market stands on the brink of a historic monetary policy decision from Tokyo: - ⚡Certainty of BoJ Rate Hike Tomorrow (+25 bps to 1.25%): The Bank of Japan is widely expected to raise its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 1.25% at tomorrow's policy meeting. Markets have also priced in the probability of a further hike in December due to persistent domestic energy inflation pressures. - ⚡USD Strengthening Post-Fed Decision: The Fed's FOMC unanimously raised the benchmark rate by 25 bps on Wednesday night and signaled one additional hike this year via the Dot Plot chart. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh highlighted persistent inflation, propelling the US Dollar (DXY) to its highest level since late July. - ⚡US Bond Sector: The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note is hovering near the 5.0% threshold (a high not seen since April 2007), preventing a sharp slide in USD/JPY ahead of the BoJ announcement. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Price Action Analysis (H4 Timeframe) The H4 structure reveals a significant recovery in bullish momentum following the massive vertical drop from the Higher High (HH) peak around 160.294. The decline was precisely halted at the floor of the Major Demand Zone (the lowest gray box: 152.875 – 153.500), forming a bottoming pattern followed by a series of bullish candles with substantial bodies. At the 156.024 price level, the most recent H4 candle shows consolidation near the latest local peak (156.279). A micro "Break of Structure" (BOS) is visible above the 155.248 green line; the area that previously acted as "Support Become Resistance" (SBR) has now transformed into a strong Support level. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Key Zones: - ⚡Resistance / Supply Zone: The 156.300 – 156.600 range (middle gray box / nearest Supply Zone) and the 158.059 green line level (upper limit of the Major Supply Zone). - ⚡Support / Demand Zone: The 155.248 green line level (lower-middle gray box / local SBR & Demand area) and the 152.875 green line level (lowest gray box / Major Demand Zone). ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Elliott Wave Analysis Mapping wave cycle movements on the H4 timeframe: ⚡Wave Structure: The impulsive rally from the 152.875 floor to 156.279 is calculated as the impulsive expansion of Wave 1 (or a macro Wave A). ⚡Current Status: The mild consolidation near 156.024 is currently identified as the initial formation of a minor Wave 2 (Corrective Wave) or a sub-wave consolidation prior to the launch of the main expansion. ⚡Projection: Price action is projected to complete this minor consolidation above the 155.248 green line before launching an impulsive Wave 3 push—breaking through the 156.500 resistance and traversing the LVN zone—to target the 158.059 green line.
USDfavorable
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 17, 2026 USDJPY
USD/JPY is holding around 156.100 after a hawkish Fed decision pushed the dollar to a seven-week high against a currency basket. The US regulator raised rates and signaled the possibility of another move by year-end, while two-year Treasury yields hit their highest level since mid-2024. This repricing supports interest rate differentials in favor of the dollar. However, the scope for pair growth is limited by the Bank of Japan's meeting on Friday. The market expects a rate hike to its highest level in 31 years amid persistent inflationary pressures, including those related to expensive energy. More hawkish signals on further increases could quickly strengthen the yen, so the anticipation of the decision reduces the appeal of aggressive dollar buys. Despite the Japanese risk, within the current session, the actual momentum from the Fed remains stronger than expectations for the Bank of Japan, which are already largely priced in. As long as US yields remain high, USD/JPY may continue its moderate rise. The scenario will lose strength if the market begins to price in a faster rate hiking cycle in Japan and demand for the yen noticeably recovers. Trading idea: BUY 156.100, SL 155.700, TP 157.000
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
XAGUSD: The Next Big Move Could Be DOWN
Silver has bounced from the support area and is attempting to push higher. However, I still don't see this move as the return of a bullish trend . On the H4 chart, XAGUSD remains below the descending trendline connecting the recent highs, while previous recovery attempts have repeatedly stalled as price approached the supply zone above. That makes the 64.45–65.30 area an important zone that could determine the next move. If price pushes deeper into this region while buying momentum begins to fade, the risk of another rejection will increase. The Ichimoku structure also adds another layer of resistance overhead, meaning buyers will need more than a short-term bounce to genuinely shift the market structure. At the moment, the macro and technical pictures are broadly aligned . Following the Fed's hawkish signal, a stronger USD and elevated Treasury yields continue to create an unfavorable environment for precious metals. This does not prevent silver from producing temporary rebounds, but it could make it difficult for buyers to sustain upside momentum once price reaches resistance. For that reason, my primary scenario remains bearish continuation : allow price to recover toward resistance, watch how it reacts, and only favor SELL opportunities if a clear rejection develops. If that scenario plays out, 62.17 is the next area I expect XAGUSD to retest.
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
GOLD: Gold H1 Analysis – September 17
📰 Gold News & Market Developments Following the Fed's decision, the USD and US bond yields remain elevated, exerting pressure on Gold. XAUUSD experienced a sharp decline and is currently recovering from the 4,260 level. On the H1 timeframe, the current recovery is insufficient to confirm a reversal. Prices remain below key EMA lines. => Short-term fundamentals: Bearish bias for Gold. 📊 Analysis The H1 structure still shows Lower Highs and Lower Lows, with the EMA alignment EMA20 < EMA50 < EMA100 < EMA200 → the downtrend remains dominant. The rise from 4,260 to above 4,280 may simply be a technical rebound. Therefore, rather than selling at the current price, it is advisable to wait for Gold to rally toward a resistance zone for a better entry position. If the price breaks strongly above 4,325 and holds there, exercise caution with Sell orders and watch for a potential move toward the 4,350–4,365 zone. 🎯 Trading Strategy 🔴 Sell Zone 4,315–4,325 : The EMA20, EMA50, and EMA100 converge here. If the price rallies but faces rejection, sellers may step back in. 🔴 Sell Zone 4,357–4,370 : EMA200 + downtrend line + supply zone → a strong resistance area. 🟢 Buy Zone 4,255–4,265 : Key support zone. Only consider buying if a clear reversal signal appears. => Key strategy: Patiently wait for Gold to rebound to the resistance zone to look for selling opportunities, rather than chasing the trade at the current price.
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
AUDTHB Holds Bullish Bias
Yesterday Recap 16/9/26 Yesterday, AUDTHB closed at 23.72 in the Thai market. The MI Leading Index MoM remained broadly unchanged from the previous reading, suggesting that the outlook for Australia's economic momentum remained stable. Meanwhile, the Fed raised interest rates, strengthening the USD and putting pressure on AUDTHB. Fundamental 17/9/26 Key Events Today There are no high-impact Australian economic releases today. Therefore, the AUD is expected to be driven mainly by external factors, particularly the Chinese economic outlook, commodity prices, Risk Sentiment, and USD direction, which could affect capital flows into the AUD. AUDTHB has rebounded from 23.62 as markets increased expectations of an RBA rate hike amid inflationary pressure. Meanwhile, the Thai baht has been pressured by a stronger USD following the Fed's Hawkish signal. This could support AUDTHB's recovery toward 23.71–23.73. Overall, AUDTHB is expected to move within a range with a slight upside bias, with the main focus on Risk Sentiment, China, Commodities, and USD direction. Technical Analysis — AUDTHB 1H Bias: Sideway Up / Bullish Price rebounded from 23.62 and is recovering within the 23.62–23.71 range. If price breaks and holds above 23.71, it could move higher to test 23.73. However, failure to break above 23.71 could lead to a pullback or sideways consolidation. Resistance: 23.71 / 23.73 Support: 23.62 Target: 23.71 → 23.73 Cut Loss: 23.61
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
EURTHB Eyes Eurozone CPI
Yesterday Recap 16/9/26 Yesterday, EURTHB closed at 38.41 in the Thai market. Eurozone manufacturing data came in slightly better than expected, while wage growth slowed, suggesting that the overall economic outlook remained broadly stable. Meanwhile, the Fed raised interest rates, supporting the USD and putting pressure on EURTHB. Fundamental 17/9/26 Key Events Today | Forecast | Previous EU: 16:00 Eurozone CPI YoY | 3.3% | 2.9% EU: 16:00 Eurozone Core CPI YoY | 2.4% | 2.5% EU: 16:00 Eurozone CPI MoM | 2.9% | 0.2% Today's key European data are the Eurozone inflation figures. CPI YoY is forecast to rise to 3.3% from 2.9%, while Core CPI YoY is expected to ease slightly from 2.5% to 2.4%. Markets will therefore focus on which components are driving the increase in headline inflation. If headline inflation comes in above expectations, markets may assess the ECB's monetary policy outlook as more restrictive, potentially supporting the EUR. Meanwhile, slower Core CPI could reduce underlying inflationary pressure. Overall, EURTHB is expected to remain volatile within a range, with the main focus on Eurozone CPI, the ECB interest-rate outlook, and European Bond Yields. Technical Analysis — EURTHB 1H Bias: Sideway Price is moving within the 38.27–38.35 range after breaking below the 38.35 zone. If price holds above 38.27, it could rebound to test 38.35–38.37. However, a break below 38.22 would make the downside structure more pronounced. Resistance: 38.35 / 38.37 Support: 38.27 / 38.22 Target: 38.35 → 38.37 Cut Loss: 38.22
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas
BTCUSDT: Bearish Take Control, Downward Wave!
BTCUSDT is trading around 76,230 USDT and remains within a descending channel. The current rebound lacks the strength to alter the market structure, as the price stays below the EMA34 (approx. 76,530) and EMA89 (approx. 77,200), while the pattern of lower highs persists. The 76,800–77,800 zone is a critical resistance area to watch. If BTC rallies to this region but faces rejection below the EMA cluster and the channel's upper boundary, I lean towards a scenario where the price drops to 75,000, followed by an extension toward the primary target near 74,000 USDT. Today's macroeconomic data reinforces the bearish outlook. The Fed has raised interest rates by 25 bps to the 3.75%–4.00% range, with most officials anticipating at least one more hike before year-end. Following this decision, the USD strengthened, Treasury yields rose, and US equities fell—creating an unfavorable environment for Bitcoin and risk-on assets. The bearish scenario would lose momentum if BTC breaks out of the channel and holds firmly above the 77,800–78,000 level.
Sep 17, 2026 · byTradingView Ideas